Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.5%
Prévisionnistes
77
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
2 mars 26, 21:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest level of U.S. military action against Cuba by the end of January 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027 at 00:00 Cuban local time., the United States conducts a confirmed kinetic strike on Cuban territory or military assets (air, land, naval), including but not limited to:
- Manned aircraft bombing runs
- Armed drone strikes
- Cruise missile strikes (including those launched from naval vessels or submarines)
- This market does NOT include:
- Cyber operations