Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
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Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
26 août 26, 16:04 UTC15 sept. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump bomb Oman?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if at least one commercial vessel completes a Strait of Hormuz transit under the temporary Iran–Oman routing framework by 11:59 PM UTC on September 15, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Ordinary transits outside the framework and military-vessel movements do not count.
- Use official statements or consistent reporting from major news organizations.
- Source: Associated Press.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
