Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
17 août 26, 20:32 UTC16 sept. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September?
Manifold MarketsIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Oman by which date?
PolymarketWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States military conducts a deliberate kinetic military strike (including aerial bombardment, artillery, missile strikes, or drone strikes) targeting territory, territorial waters, or military assets of Oman.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution Guidelines:
- Confirmation Source: The strike must be officially acknowledged by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or the Omani government, or confirmed by a consensus of major international news agencies, such as Reuters or the Associated Press.
- Intentionality: The action must be a deliberate military strike.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump bomb Oman? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump bomb Oman? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump bomb Oman? doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump bomb Oman? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria