Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète19 mars 24, 01:36 UTC1 janv. 25, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Jesus Christ return (the second coming)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Second Coming of Christ by 2100?
Manifold MarketsIs Jimmy Carter the second coming of Christ?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)
- Resolves No if the second coming of Jesus Christ did not happen before the end of 2124
- A second coming of Jesus Christ, as described in the Bible, should include:
- Physical Return of Jesus Christ Matthew 24:30: "Then will appear the sign of the Son of Man in heaven.
- And then all the peoples of the earth will mourn when they see the Son of Man coming on the clouds of heaven, with power and great glory."
- Acts 1:11: "'Men of Galilee,' they said, 'why do you stand here looking into the sky? This same Jesus, who has been taken from you into heaven, will come back in the same way you have seen him go into heaven.'"
Marchés ouverts
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 56,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 9,2 k €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volume total
- 797,6 €
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- 674,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume total
- 3,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2125.
- Comment Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)