Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75.7%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète15 août 24, 02:24 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill any American diocese break communion with the Roman Catholic Church before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
PolymarketRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
FutuurWill Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Public intellectual Jordan B. Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic christian before 2030.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 947,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 688,2 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 289,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Jordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Jordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Jordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030) doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Jordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Public intellectual Jordan B. Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic christian before 2030.