Will the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 80.3%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 11 heures

Obsolète

6 nov. 24, 14:57 UTC1 juil. 28, 03:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

I think this is a good measure of how much influence Trump/MAGA will have on the future of the Republican party.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for the primaries who goes on to win the primary and become the 2028 Republican presidential candidate?
Some potential resolution cases:
Trump does not endorse a candidate: N/A
Trump runs himself and wins: Yes
Trump endorses a third party candidate who becomes a serious candidate but does not win the Republican primary: No

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