Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
One-OffIATechMacro & Economy2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.3%
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46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète19 juil. 23, 13:22 UTC29 juin 29, 22:01 UTC
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KalshiRègles
https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US.
- However, self-driving trucks could automate a significant fraction of this sector.
- Will this happen before January 2029? (Will resolve based on BLS or similar source.
- May resolve up to six months later in case there are no reliable sources and its not already clear.)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? doit être résolu le 29 juin 2029.
- Comment Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US.