Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?
One-OffScience13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 75.5%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète12 juin 23, 16:48 UTC12 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Was watching a video from MayaHiga, a streamer/conservationist and it mentioned that North Atlantic right whale are predicted to be functionally extinct by 2035 and full on extinction by 2044.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/uIoI4na-gUs) The source of the figures being quoted by the executive director of WDC wasn't made clear.
- It seems to conflict with Wikipedia who lists them as an example of a species that some scientists already consider functionally extinct.
- So, for this market to resolve YES, I'll defer to WDC's stance on whether they are considered functionally extinct.
- This market will resolve YES if at any point before 2040 a declaration of functional extinction is made which at the time is believed to be true (even if it is later proven wrong).
