Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 82.3%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète8 mars 23, 00:37 UTC1 mars 27, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.
Manifold MarketsWill the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.
- Will Giorgia Meloni last 5 years?
- https://pagellapolitica.it/articoli/durata-governi-italia
- (the article is in italian but I couldn't find anything as relevant in english)
- The market will resolve at the end of the term (~2027) or before in case of fall.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
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- Volume 24h
- 123,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2027.
- Comment Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.