Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 77%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 06:36 UTC31 déc. 99, 07:28 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
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Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsArgentina inflation rate MoM for August
KalshiBrazil inflation rate in August
KalshiEuro area’s inflation rate in 2026
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.
- Resolves NO if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 2% or lower.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- This market will resolve as soon either the 2% or 4% threshold is crossed per an official announcement.
- I will not wait for corrections which could possibly invalidate the resolution and will not change the resolution should that happen.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2999.
- Comment Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.