Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
US PoliticsYearlyGéopolitiqueRussia / UkraineChinaEurope3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 26, 01:18 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the US and Denmark reach a formal deal regarding Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- The deal must involve a binding agreement between the US and Denmark (with Greenland as a party) that transfers some form of sovereignty, control, or significant rights over Greenland to the United States.
- This includes outright purchase, lease arrangements, or other formal territorial transfers.
- The deal must involve more than a framework or concept—it must be a finalized, legally binding agreement signed by all relevant parties.
- The market resolves NO if no such deal is reached by year-end 2026.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria