Will the Houthis attack Saudi Arabia again before September 15, 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffPolitiqueMiddle EastManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
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Prévision communautaire actuelle🟡 Limited attack — A minor attack occurs without major damage. 38.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+28.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 jours
Obsolète13 sept. 26, 12:31 UTC14 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
38.5%
21.2%
18.8%
6.8%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
1.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
KalshiHouthis enter Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This is a dependent multiple-choice market.
- Only one option will resolve to YES, and all other options will resolve to NO.
- This market resolves based on events occurring between the creation of this market and September 15, 2026, at 12:00 AM (00:00) UTC.
- The options will resolve as follows:
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if a documented Houthi attack (missile, drone, or ground raid) strikes Saudi Arabian territory and causes significant, verified damage to critical installations, such as oil refineries, pipelines, airports, or military bases.