Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
FedOne-OffTrade PolicyWeather3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.8%
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9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète12 avr. 26, 10:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2026, the German federal government officially legislates or enacts a regulatory change that entirely eliminates the Einspeisevergütung (feed-in tariff) for new, small-scale photovoltaic installations.
- "Small-scale" is defined according to the thresholds established in the Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG) at the time of the potential policy change.
- If the tariff is modified, reduced, or restructured but not fully repealed for all new small-scale systems, the market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) or the publication of amended EEG legislation in the Bundesgesetzblatt (Federal Law Gazette).
- The Einspeisevergütung is a core component of the German Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG), designed to incentivize the expansion of renewable energy by guaranteeing grid operators pay fixed rates for electricity fed into the grid.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria