Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.6%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète10 sept. 23, 20:34 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The FDA will approve a drug for the treatment of senescence (aging) before the end of the decade (before 2030)
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102?
KalshiWill FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Manifold MarketsBumetanide considered effective in the treatment of genetic Alzheimer's by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
KalshiRègles
Will sildenafil (brand name Viagra) be officially approved by the FDA as an Alzheimer's treatment at any time before 2030?
- Background: Viagra associated with reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 916 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 863,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the FDA approve Viagra as a treatment for Alzheimer's before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the FDA approve Viagra as a treatment for Alzheimer's before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the FDA approve Viagra as a treatment for Alzheimer's before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will the FDA approve Viagra as a treatment for Alzheimer's before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will sildenafil (brand name Viagra) be officially approved by the FDA as an Alzheimer's treatment at any time before 2030?