Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
Trade PolicyOne-OffLatin AmericaEurope3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.8%
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Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète31 déc. 25, 06:04 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
A trade deal between the EU and Mercosur (Paraguay, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, & Uruguay) under negotiation for ~25 years and rejected in 2019 has been agreed.
- Will the deal, or something substantially similar, be ratified by all parties (not necessarily entered into force) by the end of 2026?
- https://www.reuters.com/world/eu-mercosur-set-finalise-contentious-trade-deal-2024-12-06/
- https://www.dw.com/en/eu-delays-signing-mercosur-free-trade-deal-again/a-75237389
- ITA ratification will resolve YES.
- Previous (2025) market: https://manifold.markets/table8473/will-the-eumercosur-free-trade-agre
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : A trade deal between the EU and Mercosur (Paraguay, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, & Uruguay) under negotiation for ~25 years and rejected in 2019 has been agreed.