Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Costa Rica 87.1%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 25, 21:14 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiWill the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
KalshiWill the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join ASEAN before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketUS trade deficit for 2029
KalshiRègles
The Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) is a trade agreement with 12 parties as of January 2025, mostly in the Pacific.
- It began as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), which was signed but never entered into force as the United States withdrew in 2017.
- The remaining 11 signatories instead formed the CPTPP, and were joined in 2024 by the United Kingdom.
- Various other countries have formally applied to join the agreement or expressed interest; negotiations are currently open with the named outcome, beginning on 29 November 2024.
- An answer to this market will resolve YES if that country accedes to the agreement (i.e. the agreement comes into force for it) on or before 31 December 2029.
- Note that the accession protocol does not have to come into force between the applicant and all other members for the country to accede to the agreement, just at least half the remaining members (e.g. the United Kingdom had the agreement come into force for nine countries on 15 December 2024, but for Australia it came into force on 24 December).
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,4 k €
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 13,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
KALSHIWhat will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- Fold / Folding / Foldable+10.0pt88%
- Ultra+5.0pt87%
- Apple Intelligence83%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Volume total
- 1,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 683,1 €
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Costa Rica à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) is a trade agreement with 12 parties as of January 2025, mostly in the Pacific.