Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50.4%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète29 juil. 26, 14:36 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. by September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the total number of confirmed measles cases in the United States reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for the calendar year 2027 is strictly greater than the total number reported for the calendar year 2026.
- If the 2027 count is less than or equal to the 2026 count, the market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth will be the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If this page is unavailable or no longer updated, official numbers published in the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) or the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) will be used.
- Details and Edge Cases:
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 916 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 863,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria