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Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
24 avr. 25, 21:34 UTC25 mars 29, 00:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag