Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète24 avr. 25, 21:34 UTC25 mars 29, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Smallest viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
Manifold MarketsWill the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
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KalshiWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiRègles
Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) doit être résolu le 25 mars 2029.
- Comment Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?