KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
AfD · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
AfD 82%En tête parmi 7 options
AfD 82%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
21,5 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
AfDÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
28 juil. 26, 16:23 UTC25 mars 30, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · AfD
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiRègles
If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bundeswahlausschuss
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Règles de chaque résultat
- AfD
- If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU/CSU
- If CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If SPD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Left
- If The Left wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If BSW wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.