Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 47.9%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète26 févr. 25, 03:03 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first Chancellor elected by the Bundestag following the next German federal election.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no Chancellor is elected before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 48% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.