Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAfD 89.6%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
27 févr. 25, 00:44 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.
- For each party listed:
- Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election
- Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.
- If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.