![In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FYann%2F4fyoi8x7i4.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Reform UK 97%En tête parmi 11 options
Reform UK 97%Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 24, 16:21 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to yes if the party gains more seats.
- Resolves to no if the party looses or has the same amount of seats.
- Uses the number of seats “as elected” as benchmark and not any party switching that may happen thereafter.
- Seats lost in runoff elections do not count.