KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Liberal Party 52.9%En tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
10,3 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
28 juil. 26, 16:30 UTC15 oct. 30, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWhich coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Elections Canada
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next Canadian federal election winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Liberal Party à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next Canadian federal election winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next Canadian federal election winner? doit être résolu le 15 octobre 2030.
- Comment Next Canadian federal election winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.