Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 88.5%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 avr. 25, 17:32 UTC30 avr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiDate of the next Canadian Federal Election
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsCA-28 House election: April Verlato vote percent
KalshiMD-06 House election: April McClain Delaney vote percent
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Canadian federal election is held on or before April 30, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Canada has recently conducted a federal election on April 28, 2025, resulting in the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, forming a minority government.
- (reuters.com) Under the Canada Elections Act, federal elections are scheduled every four years, with the next fixed date being October 15, 2029.
- However, the prime minister can request the governor general to dissolve Parliament, potentially leading to an earlier election.
