Will Terence Tao write a paper with Lean code in it during the 2026 calendar year?
One-OffScience3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64.2%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 23, 17:23 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Fields medalist Terence Tao has recently been interested in the Lean proof assistant.
- He recently started formalizing one of his papers in Lean.
- This question is to forecast whether he will still be interested in Lean in a few years.
- It resolves YES if Tao publishes or preprints any paper with Lean source code in the text of the paper between 2026-01-01 and 2026-12-31.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Terence Tao write a paper with Lean code in it during the 2026 calendar year? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Terence Tao write a paper with Lean code in it during the 2026 calendar year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Terence Tao write a paper with Lean code in it during the 2026 calendar year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Terence Tao write a paper with Lean code in it during the 2026 calendar year? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Fields medalist Terence Tao has recently been interested in the Lean proof assistant.