Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.8%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 déc. 23, 11:32 UTC2 oct. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
Futuur[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Starship will be the first to be caught?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship successfully land for the first time?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiRègles
Refers to upper stage only.
- Successfully caught means remains in one piece allowing inspection.
- It does not have to be capable of reflight, a few serious scratches would be ok as vehicle could be inspected.
- Will extend deadline until one occurs.
- If neither is going to happen resolves na.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught? doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Refers to upper stage only.