Prévision communautaire actuelle
Ship 42 33.3%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 juil. 25, 21:24 UTC31 oct. 26, 21:12 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship Ship 42 be the first to fly to orbit and be caught by the tower?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?
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KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the first SpaceX Starship to successfully land on the catch arms (chopsticks) of a launch tower.
- The vehicle must come to rest in one piece on the chopsticks, but any following event, including destruction, will not affect the resolution.
- S37 and S38 are the final remaining Block 2 ships.
- S39 is the first Block 3 ship.
- Newer ships may be added as needed.
Marchés ouverts
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- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Starship will be the first to be caught? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Ship 42 à 33% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Starship will be the first to be caught? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Starship will be the first to be caught? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Which Starship will be the first to be caught? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria