KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2035 26.6%-3.0ptEn tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2 k €
Liquidité
18,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
27 mai 26, 14:001 janv. 35, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2035 à 27% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.