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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète17 oct. 24, 23:38 UTC1 janv. 28, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a sample from the Martian system be returned to Earth by an Asian space agency before a Western space agency?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRègles
[tweet]Must be substantially manufactured by SpaceX / Starlink.
- For example, main board PCB manufacturing, PCB assembly, or final product assembly.
- The production facility must be owned and operated by SpaceX / Starlink; a branded phone produced by a different manufacturer would not count.
- If Starlink or other portions of SpaceX are spun off into separate companies or subsidiaries, any such company would be included.
- The qualifying production facility must not be located in China (PRC).
- The phone must be available to order and shipping to consumers on or before 2027-12-31 UTC, but limited availability would still count.
