Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:03 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.4%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 juin 26, 00:15 UTC29 févr. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first woman to walk on the Moon be a Chinese national?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?
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Manifold MarketsWill over 200 people be on the moon at any given time before a baby if born on the moon
Manifold MarketsWill Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will China fly taikonauts in cislunar space before Chinese New Year 2028?
- As long as they are withing the sphere of influence it counts.
- https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/isaacman-chinese-taikonauts-likely-to-fly-around-moon-in-2027/
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if China launches a crewed spacecraft carrying at least one human astronaut (taikonaut) that successfully enters cislunar space or the Moon's gravitational sphere of influence (including lunar flybys, circumlunar trajectories, lunar orbit, or landing) before Chinese New Year 2028
- While China's officially declared objective is to land taikonauts on the lunar surface by 2030, observers and aerospace officials have suggested precursor missions are planned.
