Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 15:36 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 59.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
20 juin 25, 02:55 UTC31 déc. 30, 02:54 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first woman to walk on the Moon is a Chinese national.
- Verification will be based on official announcements from space agencies such as NASA or the China National Space Administration (CNSA), and reputable news sources reporting on the event.
- As of June 2025, no woman has walked on the Moon.
- Both the United States and China have announced plans to send female astronauts to the lunar surface in the near future:
- United States: NASA's Artemis program aims to land the first woman on the Moon.
