Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 50.8%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète19 févr. 24, 04:04 UTC16 janv. 40, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiNick Fuentes federally charged?
PolymarketNick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?
Polymarketwill a nick fuentes sex tape with gay acts release this year as milo claims?
Manifold MarketsFed decision in Sep 2026?
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRègles
Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.
- If Fuentes claims to be a Fed and it is not confirmed by the relevant agency, I will resolve Yes after three months unless there is strong disproving evidence.
- If Fuentes does not admit it and I consider the evidence inconclusive, I will resolve to No.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? doit être résolu le 16 janvier 2040.
- Comment Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.