Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 90.9%
Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
24 févr. 26, 21:47 UTC3 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Mitch McConnell be alive to see GTA6?
Manifold MarketsMitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsMitch McConnell alive all of December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves to YES if Senator Mitch McConnell is alive at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on January 3, 2027 (the constitutional end of his Senate term).
- If he passes away at any point before this exact date and time, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution based on consensus reporting from major news organizations (e.g., AP News, Reuters, New York Times).