Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.2%
Prévisionnistes
72
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
4 févr. 26, 17:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsMitch McConnell alive all of December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign in 2026?
PredictItWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiRègles
Market resolves YES if Mitch McConnell dies before January 1st, 2027.
- Resolves NO if he doesn't.
- Will resolve based on credible news sources, of course.
- Must be confirmed.
- Context: McConnell is currently hospitalized due to "flu-like symptoms" (Source: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-mitch-mcconnell-hospitalized-after-experiencing-flu-symptoms/story?id=129834622).
- I will update this section when more information comes out.
