Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
25.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS Politics5mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 54%-0.3%
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
43 k €
Liquidité
42,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
53.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.8%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-14.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
17 oct. 25, 21:263 janv. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes54%
Référence CoinRithm33%· 2 plateformes· ±21 pts
OuiNonMANIFOLD MARKETS
OuiNon
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
6mo
70%
30%
Prévision communautaire118 prévisionnistesType: binary
Volume total9,7 k €
Volume 24h155,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
7.0%3mo
-7.0%33%
67%
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total378,8 k €
Volume 24h65,6 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$49.1k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.