Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 août 26, 16:22 UTC3 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
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PredictItRègles
This market resolves to YES if Senator Mitch McConnell is alive at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on January 3, 2027 (the constitutional end of his Senate term).
- If he passes away at any point before this exact date and time, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution based on consensus reporting from major news organizations (e.g., AP News, Reuters, New York Times).
- (Identical market to: source market)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term) doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if Senator Mitch McConnell is alive at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on January 3, 2027 (the constitutional end of his Senate term).