Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.4%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète9 déc. 23, 23:41 UTC1 mars 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBrazil unemployment rate in August
KalshiJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if Mexico has a larger GDP than Brazil in the year from January 1st 2028 -> December 31st 2028
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- 612,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3 k €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2029.
- Comment Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if Mexico has a larger GDP than Brazil in the year from January 1st 2028 -> December 31st 2028