Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNetanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there 67.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 25, 16:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:24 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.
- If Netanyahu resorts to some sort of helicopter landing on top of the UN HQ compound or something, then idk I'll probably have to resolve N/A. I'll interpret arrest fairly broadly.
- For example, if Netanyahu is detained by NYC officials in any capacity, even if he is then immediately released into federal custody or something, that will still resolve.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Netanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.