Prévision communautaire actuelle
2080 98.9%En tête parmi 17 options
2080 98.9%Prévisionnistes
77
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète29 juil. 24, 21:16 UTC1 janv. 01, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOnce level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWill level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
At the beginning of each year level 5 self driving is not available the previous year will resolve to NO.
- If level 5 self driving is available year 2028.
- Year 2028 and all years after will resolve to YES.
- Level 5 self driving.
- Needs to be available in US and Europe for normal consumers.
- Should not cost much more than a normal expensive car.