Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation 37.6%En tête parmi 6 options
No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation 37.6%Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
4 déc. 23, 10:02 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
(If they're replaced by leap minutes, there will be around one every few decades, and if they're replaced by leap hours, there will be around one every couple millennia.) Resolves based on what the rules are on 31 December 2050, regardless of how many or how few leap seconds/minutes/hours are actually added or subtracted.
- They don't have to be implemented as extra seconds/minutes/hours as today -- smoother adjustments would also count.
