Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 04:58 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWhich cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
KalshiWhich cities will be known mostly by their Ukrainian names in local search traffic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurRègles
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annually ranks cities by livability, releasing a free summary report every summer.
- The Global Livability Index 2023 ranked Ukraine's capital,Kyiv (Kiev), at 165th out of 173 cities "owing to the damage the war has done to its stability, infrastructure and general liveability." The Global Livability Index 2024 kept Kyiv in the bottom 10, and in 2025 it did so again.
- Here are all of the 10 least livable cities of 2025:
- [image]Will Kyiv remain among the bottom 10 least livable cities in the EIU's Global Livability Index 2026?
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annually ranks cities by livability, releasing a free summary report every summer.