Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.9%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 févr. 26, 19:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Juan Carlos I abdicated the Spanish throne in June 2014 in favor of his son, King Felipe VI, after a nearly 39-year reign.
- In August 2020, facing multiple investigations into alleged financial wrongdoing, Juan Carlos left Spain.
- He is currently living in self-imposed exile in the capital of the United Arab Emirates, where he has established wealth management structures, indicating plans for long-term residence.
- However, Juan Carlos has made multiple short visits to Spain, and his December 2025 memoir could be interpreted as an attempt to pave the way for a permanent return to Spain.
- This market resolves YES if Juan Carlos I dies while in the United Arab Emirates.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Juan Carlos I (former King of Spain) die in the United Arab Emirates? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Juan Carlos I (former King of Spain) die in the United Arab Emirates? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Juan Carlos I (former King of Spain) die in the United Arab Emirates? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Juan Carlos I (former King of Spain) die in the United Arab Emirates? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Juan Carlos I abdicated the Spanish throne in June 2014 in favor of his son, King Felipe VI, after a nearly 39-year reign.