Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète2 juin 25, 00:05 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
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KalshiWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM PT, there is an event widely and credibly recognized as the arrival or return of Jesus Christ — whether as the Second Coming (in Christian eschatology), the First Coming (in the view of certain religions or groups), or a new messianic appearance.
- Such recognition must be confirmed by a consensus of credible global news outlets and at least one major world government or international authority.
- The event must involve a public, global acknowledgment that the individual is Jesus Christ or a direct fulfillment of the prophetic messianic role as traditionally understood in Abrahamic religions.
- If no such confirmation exists by the stated time, the market will resolve to “No.”
