Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.6%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète3 avr. 26, 08:32 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf the US confirms aliens exist, will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [actually]
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs on or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO".
- Resolution will be based on consensus across major international news outlets and religious authorities confirming the event.
- In the event of ambiguity or lack of verifiable reporting, the market will resolve to "NO".
- The Second Coming of Jesus Christ is a foundational belief in Christianity, based on various biblical prophecies regarding the return of Jesus to Earth.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No 99%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No, Jesus Christ will not return before 2027 99%
Marchés ouverts
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 56,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No75%
- Yes25%
- Volume total
- 6,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,6 k €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118 k €
- Volume 24h
- 64,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.5pt89.1%
- Yes-1.5pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 798,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Volume total
- 8,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Volume total
- 793,6 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où Will Jesus Christ return before 2027 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Manifold Markets.