Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.3%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète15 févr. 25, 17:32 UTC1 janv. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the ICJ find Russia in breach of the Genocide Convention?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ find Myanmar in breach of the Genocide Convention?
Manifold MarketsWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRègles
Background The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently hearing South Africa's case against Israel regarding alleged violations of the Genocide Convention in Gaza.
- On January 26, 2024, the ICJ issued provisional measures.
- However, this preliminary ruling does not constitute a final determination on whether Israel has breached the Convention.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the ICJ issues a final judgment finding that Israel has breached any provision of the Genocide Convention in relation to its actions in Gaza.
- It will resolve NO if the ICJ either:
- Issues a final judgment finding that Israel has not breached the Convention