Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.5%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète15 févr. 25, 17:32 UTC1 janv. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Background The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently hearing South Africa's case against Israel regarding alleged violations of the Genocide Convention in Gaza.
- On January 26, 2024, the ICJ issued provisional measures.
- However, this preliminary ruling does not constitute a final determination on whether Israel has breached the Convention.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the ICJ issues a final judgment finding that Israel has breached any provision of the Genocide Convention in relation to its actions in Gaza.
- It will resolve NO if the ICJ either:
- Issues a final judgment finding that Israel has not breached the Convention
Marchés ouverts
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently hearing South Africa's case against Israel regarding alleged violations of the Genocide Convention in Gaza.