Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 96.5%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 25, 10:07 UTC1 janv. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any CSTO member state successfully invoke Article 4 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland and Iceland go to war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
FutuurEU has a new member before 2030?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
Iceland is a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), which allows for the free movement of goods, services, and people between Iceland and the European Union (EU).
- However, Iceland is not a member of the EU itself.
- Here are some key points about Iceland's relationship with the EU:
- * Iceland is part of the Schengen Area, allowing for passport-free travel between Iceland and other Schengen countries.
- * Iceland is a member of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), which allows for the free movement of goods with EU member states.
- * Iceland has a bilateral agreement with the EU, the European Economic Area Agreement (EEA Agreement), which grants Iceland access to the EU's single market.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 809,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Iceland is a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), which allows for the free movement of goods, services, and people between Iceland and the European Union (EU).