Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffTechIASociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.6%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète10 juin 26, 18:581 févr. 28, 0:00
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Règles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem pretty legible is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,000 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 200-219+6.0pt25.5%
- 180-199+4.0pt22.6%
- 220-239+4.0pt19.8%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above98%
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 974,7 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+13.0pt56%
- 75° or below+15.0pt33%
- 78° to 79°-22.0pt5.5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIETH price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,360 or above99%
- $2,240 or above99%
- $2,280 or above98%
+37 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 165,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 165,9 k €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+1.2pt10.8%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.4pt9.9%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.
- Comment Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.