Will "Increasing returns to effort are common" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffIATechSociété et culture3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 06:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète3 mars 26, 23:03 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Increasing returns to effort are common is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
