Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.7%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
9 oct. 24, 02:03 UTC2 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
Manifold MarketsWill Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReckless Ben in jail by December 31?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
As reported by major news sources.
- If in doubt or unclear as of question close time, then as confirmed by government sources such as court records and arrest records.
- Question close time may be extended if unclear and records are not yet available.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As reported by major news sources.