Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.7%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète9 oct. 24, 02:03 UTC2 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
Manifold MarketsWill Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these AI executives will spend a night in jail or prison between 26 Sep 2026 and EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz in jail by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
As reported by major news sources.
- If in doubt or unclear as of question close time, then as confirmed by government sources such as court records and arrest records.
- Question close time may be extended if unclear and records are not yet available.
