Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionCrime & Justice3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
113
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète9 oct. 24, 02:09 UTC2 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsReckless Ben in jail by December 31?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump live to see Hunter Biden spend a day in jail?
Manifold MarketsWill Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?
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FutuurRègles
[tweet]This is a derivative question; it will resolve exactly according to these questions: @/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
- @/EvanDaniel/will-elon-musk-spend-a-night-in-pri
- It will resolve yes if those questions resolve in different ways.
- That is, if Trump wins and Elon stays out of jail, or Trump loses and Elon goes to jail, this will resolve Yes.
- If the questions resolve in the same way, this question will resolve No.
